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BILL HARRISON

"A once great website for serious news discussion. Needs a good housecleaning now."
Articles Posted: 113  Links Seeded: 1156
Member Since: 4/2007  Last Seen: 12/15/2009

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Tilting at Turbines: Why Alternative Energy Won't Solve Our Problems Anytime Soon

Seeded on Sun Aug 31, 2008 5:34 PM EDT
Read ArticleArticle Source: The Washington Post
us-news, barack-obama, alternative-energy, al-gore, fossil-fuels, foreign-oil-dependence
Seeded by Bill Harrison
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. . .This is where Gore must be pulling our collective leg. Because most people who study the country's energy supply say that -- whatever you think of the motives behind Gore's idea -- as a real-life plan, it's a non-starter.

The problem is that, despite the current boom in green power, renewable sources such as the sun and the wind still provide just a tiny fraction of the U.S. electricity supply. The rest is mainly dirty stuff: coal, gas, oil. To replace one with the other over the course of a decade, energy experts say, would make the Manhattan Project look like a science-fair volcano.

And even if we wanted to try Gore's plan, his goal is likely to get more distant every year. That's because, even as Americans demand more action on climate change, their laptops and flat-screen TVs are demanding more electricity every year -- and they're not asking whether it's clean or dirty.

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  • Bill Harrison's Column, All of Newsvine
  • Groups: 2008: John McCain, Alternative Energy - Greenvine, Historical Vine, NYTimes Forums Refugees, Open Mic, Political Analysis, rationalists, rightwingers, The Big 2008 Election, The Bigger 2008 Election , Utopia, Worldviews
  • Regions: Washington DC
  • Public Discussion (14)
Bill Harrison

I'm about as green a guy as they get. I drive my car less than 2K mile/year. Bike and use public transport and exercise water and energy conservation at home but we're dreaming if we think we're going to make this difficult transition in anything less than a full generation which is not to say that we should not be encouraging development in these areas.

  • 7 votes
Reply#1 - Sun Aug 31, 2008 5:37 PM EDT
Waynester

Thanks Bill, good seed. I was reading the other day how the introduction of windpower to the grid actually reduces efficiency because gas turbines have to be on standby (spinning but not under load) for when the wind doesn't blow because there is no way to store ac power...

  • 3 votes
Reply#2 - Sun Aug 31, 2008 9:11 PM EDT
Jay Butler

There are actually ways to store power. Most grids do it with pumping stations that are filled with water overnight and have the water released to drive turbines during peak load mid-day. There just is not a huge amount of spare hydro capacity available to absorb much more excess off-peak generation.

But, it is very difficult to transmit AC power over long distances without incurring a lot of loss. AC likes to jump to ground more readily than DC. This is why Europe is considering a DC transmissions grid. It would allow transmission over long distances which would allow wind power from Spain to fill reservoirs in Norway.

Another technology being considered for storing power is compressed air. This has some great advantages in that the turbines could be used to mechanically drive the compressors. That would save the mechanical-electric-mechanical conversion losses.

  • 3 votes
#2.1 - Sun Aug 31, 2008 10:42 PM EDT
Bill Harrison

Gents, don't buy into Boone Pickens's wind farm fantasies. Boone's just trolling for federal subsidies to make a buck. The Post has a sister article on why his idea of using natural gas to power vehicles is nonsense.

I know it sounds like heresy for a Republican to say it but if McCain really wanted to throw a good punch he'd get off the "cap and trade" nonsense which doesn't work as advertised in Europe and would only be subject to more of the insider gaming we're used to in Washington. A better idea would be to advocate a broad-based carbon tax and offset that with a cut in the payroll tax which is the most regressive tax in the country and hits the working poor the hardest.

  • 3 votes
#2.2 - Sun Aug 31, 2008 10:51 PM EDT
youth in asia

The notion that we can convert the nation's fleet of vehicles to run on natural gas, a rapidly dwindling supply of NG, is truly misguided. What will the millions of homes use for heat if this is done? The price of existing NG will go through the roof (not that Boone Pickens would mind) and it will be used up much more quickly than it is today.

However, in principle the wind power investment is a good idea. The problem of course is getting the generated power to the consumers on both coasts. This would require a massive upgrade of the power grid and that in turn would require the federal government to essentially force state and local governments to cooperate in that effort because of the balkinized nature of ownership and management of the existing grid. This is a massive undertaking, not the sort of thing that can be done in a decade as the optimists suggest. But in the long run, sure, why not?

Upgrading the nation's power grid is long overdue. The ASCE's report card for America's infrastructre has listed the power grid as a priority item for quite some time.

  • 1 vote
#2.3 - Mon Sep 1, 2008 12:12 AM EDT
Waynester

AC is subject to radiation losses.(what Jay calls jumping to ground)
DC is subject to what are called I squared R losses ( it depends on the current and the resistance of the conductors) which is why it's done at very high voltages; a million volts or more.. the higher the voltage the lower the current required for any given power transfer. There are always losses when converting from one form to another; even rectification, which is required to convert AC to DC is lossy to some extent and then it has to be reconverted to ac, more losses. No free lunch anywhere, the laws of thermodynamics being what they are. Now if we had room temperature superconductivity on a practical scale...

  • 2 votes
#2.4 - Mon Sep 1, 2008 12:15 AM EDT
Waynester

a rapidly dwindling supply of NG,

I thought there was a lot out there (or down there rather) that we haven't tapped yet...CNG is the easiest conversion scenario, much faster and cheaper than say Hydrogen or even electric. More nukes for non-portable power needs and cng to take the load from petrol would be better in my view than the T Boone plan. How much longer would the NG last if we weren't using it to generate power?

  • 2 votes
#2.5 - Mon Sep 1, 2008 12:24 AM EDT
youth in asia

How much longer would the NG last if we weren't using it to generate power?

I don't know and I have not seen any solid data on that. Perhaps someone in Newsvine is more familiar with the numbers on existing NG. But there are reasons to be concerned if his plan is implemented.

Unlike oil wells that generally deplete on a gradual curve, when natural gas wells run dry, they stop producing all together. We might be are nearing peak production of natural gas and the depletion rate of NG has been increased massively in the past few years due in part to better technology that allows more thorough depletion of existing NG deposits. If we add to this the demand that would be created by converting the nation's truck fleet to NG (not to mention building thousands of fueling stations across the country) the price of existing NG would sky rocket even if all the gas used to produce electricity were supplanted by wind and/or nuclear generation. This price increase would not go over too well in areas that depend on NG for cooking and heating. Natural gas is also used to produce chemical fertilizer, so there is yet another competing use.

Even if supply issues are not a problem, a vast infrastructure would need to be created to supply fuel to the converted vehicles. Who will pay for it?

That said, it is good the Pickens is discussing this issue in a high profile manner. He is a seasoned and successful businessman who has spent his life in the oil/energy industry who should be listened to by anyone interested in energy issues and deserves to be commended for his efforts. I do not think he is foolish enough to actually believe the US can or will become "energy independent" however. He brings a respected and sober voice to an issue that does not receive adequate and responsible attention in our discourse. This should be a major issue in the presidential campaign, sadly neither candidate gives it thorough or realistic consideration.

    #2.6 - Mon Sep 1, 2008 1:21 AM EDT
    AmusedinVa

    According to the Department of Energy newest numbers available US natural gas usage is 635.1 billion cubic feet per year, and we have 211 trillion cubic feet of proven reserves in the US. So with current usage which include vehicles already using CNG there's a little better than 200 years worth of reserves. And that's just based on American proven reserves worldwide the numbers are to huge to write. Russia has around 20 times the proven reserve of the US.

    • 1 vote
    #2.7 - Tue Sep 2, 2008 5:08 AM EDT
    Reply
    george s

    Wind turbines will only supplement our need for electricity.

      Reply#3 - Mon Sep 1, 2008 10:50 AM EDT
      Bill Harrison

      One of the practical approaches that the second linked article points to is that that can be practiced every single day by Americans that would have an appreciable effect on power demand if followed. Things like keeping the AC turned up in summer, vice versa in winter, buying those funny looking light bulbs (although their disposal due to mercury is problematic), etc. People like to make fun of this but the practical upside is large.

      • 3 votes
      Reply#4 - Mon Sep 1, 2008 3:42 PM EDT
      AmusedinVa

      Bill I'm with you and the article writers on this one. I'm all for using as much green power as we can. But thinking the entire US grid could be converted in 10 years is way beyond fantasy.

      • 2 votes
      Reply#5 - Tue Sep 2, 2008 5:10 AM EDT
      Waynester

      Has anyone else noticed the irony of calling the reduction of CO2 "green"? CO2 is the very compound that allows and accelerates plant growth. See The Greening of Planet Earth

      • 2 votes
      Reply#6 - Tue Sep 2, 2008 8:40 AM EDT
      Jesusa Bernardo

      Clipped to Alternative Energy group.

        Reply#7 - Sun Sep 7, 2008 4:50 PM EDT
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